down in football last year?"WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections San Diego Chargers Daily LinksSan Diego Chargers NewsSan Diego Chargers OffseasonSan Diego Chargers HistorySan Diego Chargers HumorThe 4th Down Bot Vs. 2018: Part OneNew Corey Liuget Color Rush Jersey ,5commentsHow did the Chargers fare in the most pivotal down in football last year?PSTShareTweetShareShareThe 4th Down Bot Vs. 2018: Part OneIf you missed the Prologue, you can read about the Rebirth of the 4th Down Bot HERE.For everyone else, we’re going to jump right in to the data to see how the LA Chargers did against the odds in 2018.First, let’s call the 4th Down Bot (ver 2.0)back over here so that we can look at the chart:The difference between Bot 1.0 and Bot 2.0 is a more aggressive push in the final minutes of each half. In all other matters, the above chart is identical for both modelsThis monster of pigskin and steel is bent on one ultimate goal: to maximize the gridiron’s most pivotal down. While that sounds nice and dandy, the Bot’s methods are uncompromising and ruthlessly efficient. The good news is that modern football is aligning more and more with the Bot’s point of view, so clashes should be limited as more and more teams begin to utilize analytics to a greater degree. The first iteration of the 4th Down Bot did not take into account the game clock. The Professor fixed this with the second iteration, but those changes really only apply to the final 3 minutes and 45 seconds of each half. In short—the 4th Down Bot has research and historical data that proves that aggressive playcalling on 4th Down can pay off more often than not.Did Anthony Lynn take note?2018:Part One - Weeks 1-4Now let’s compare these stats with previous seasons!2018:Week 1: 4/7 (57.1%)Week 2: 3/6 (50.0%)Week 3: 6/6 (100.0%)* A 1/6 correction noted between bot 1.0 and 2.0!Week 4: 6/8 (75.0%)2018 1st Quarter season stats: 19/27 (70.3%) agreement2017:Week 1: 5/8 (62.5%)Week 2: 5/5 (100.0%)Week 3: 4/6 (66.6%)Week 4: 5/7 (71.4%)2017 1st Quarter season stats: 19/26 (73.0%) agreementAnd to further the comparison and contrast, we’re throwing in the last year before Anthony Lynn:2016:Week 1: 5/8 (62.5%)Week 2: 5/5 (100.0%)Week 3: 4/6 (66.6%)Week 4: 5/7 (71.4%)2016 1st Quarter season stats: 19/26 (73.0%) agreementAre you surprised by these results?As a numbers guy, I immediately am incredibly surprised that the amount of agreed plays was absolutely identical for the previous three years. That is, in and of itself, a statistical anomaly. There being only one more 4th down play attempted in 2018 versus the previous two years is also astounding (and very nice for quality comparison!).Many think of Anthony Lynn as an aggressive coach: a loose cannon that could ‘go for two’ at any point. This exercise is ill-equipped to prove or disprove that notion. Instead, it illustrates whether or not coaches were more or less likely to follow good statistics for their 4th down calls. You might be tempted to think that, based on these results, Mike McCoy was unfairly vilified for his playcalling. I’ll leave you with this final roundup:2016 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 16 of 262017 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 16 of 262018 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 14 of 27My interpretation of these numbers is that Anthony Lynn is actually learning from his experiences. While the first quarter of 2018 indicates that he slightly took his foot off of the gas on 4th down compared to 2017 Dan Feeney Color Rush Jersey , he’s still on the right side of the odds (the league average was 62.4% agreement in 2018).What’s more, the times that Lynn did not agree with the bot was when he decided he’d rather have points on the board or pin the other team rather deep and trust his defense.NEXT WEEK: Lynn Vs. the 4th Down Bot - 2nd Quarter 2018 (Weeks 5-9)-Jason “My Numbers are Dayed” Michaels Can this veteran find a way to capitalize on Tyrell Williams’ departure?" />Skip to main contentclockmenumore-arrownoyesHorizontal - WhiteBolts From The BlueBolts From The Blue, a Los Angeles Chargers communityLog In or Sign UpLog InSign UpFanpostsFanshotsSectionsChargersOddsAboutMastheadCommunity GuidelinesStubHubMoreAll 322 blogs on Horizontal - WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections San Diego Chargers Daily LinksSan Diego Chargers NewsSan Diego Chargers OffseasonSan Diego Chargers HistorySan Diego Chargers HumorFiled under:Latest NewsLos Angeles Chargers NewsChargers OffseasonChargers 90-in-90: WR Geremy DavisNew,21commentsCan this veteran find a way to capitalize on Tyrell Williams’ departure?PDTShareTweetShareShareChargers 90-in-90: WR Geremy DavisPhoto by Sean M. Haffey/Getty ImagesThere has been a log-jam at the wide receiver position over the last couple years and a number of capable wideouts have had to sit back and work in the background as Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Tyrell Williams, and Travis Benjamin kept all the playing time to themselves.Now that Tyrell has officially moved up to Oakland, there are a decent amount of snaps to go around to a lucky player who can separate himself from the pack. Davis is right up there on the short-list along with last year’s sixth-round pick, Dylan Cantrell, as well as Artavis Scott.Even with Travis Benjamin currently sitting at third on the depth chart, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the team use a heavy rotation to start the regular season (apart from Allen and Williams, of course.)Basic InfoHeight: 6-3Weight: 211College: University of ConnecticutExperience: 5Years with team: 3Contract Status“Geremy Davis signed a 1 year, $895,000 contract with the Los Angeles Chargers, including a $25 Kyle Emanuel Color Rush Jersey ,000 signing bonus, $25,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $895,000. In 2019, Davis will earn a base salary of $805,000, a signing bonus of $25,000 and a roster bonus of $65,000, while carrying a cap hit of $735,000 and a dead cap value of $25,000.”- Spotrac.comThe GoodDavis fits the mold of the tall, physically-imposing wide receiver that the Chargers have loved so much over the past couple years. When Dontrelle Inman was with the team, he was mostly used in 1-WR sets and utilized for his effort as a blocker. I believe that’s what has helped keep Davis around.He has yet to catch a pass in the regular season since he was with the New York Giants in 2015 Brandon Mebane Color Rush Jersey , but he always tends to show out in the exhibition games prior to the season. He is also a veteran who can provide spot duty in a pinch. If something were to happen to a receiver in front of him on the depth chart, he wouldn’t be the worst guy to have waiting in the wings.The BadNo matter how good he consistently looks in the preseason, Davis has yet to catch a pass in a regular season game over the last three full seasons. To his name, he only has two catches for 21 yards. That’s no bueno no matter how you look at it. Maybe he just needs the right opportunity? Maybe he’s just a preseason All-American? We just don’t know at this point. I think Davis is going to have to show out one more time during this year’s exhibition games to finally show the staff that he can hang if given a legitimate workload.Odds of making the team/What to expect in 2019I think Davis is close to a sure-thing when it comes to making the final 53. He’s been nothing but consistent and available and those two things are high up on the coaches’ priorities. The team really didn’t bring in or draft anyone that seems automatically better than Davis, either. Cantrell and Scott seem to be the only guys in the room that could potentially push Davis down the depth chart so, at worst, he could be the team’s sixth and final wide receiver on the active roster.Fun Fact: Davis was a standout player for the UConn Huskies from 2011-2014. He finished his career with 165 catches for 2,292 yards, both of which were school records in the FBS era at the time. He currently sits at 6th all-time in receptions and receiving yards in school history while holding the single-game record for receptions in a game at 15. As a junior, he became the first wideout to surpass 1,000 receiving yards in a season since 1988.